Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001046 0.001192 0.001340 0.001499 0.001667 0.001837 0.002022
2025-06-22 0.000805 0.001011 0.001227 0.001469 0.001729 0.002000 0.002300
2025-06-29 0.000644 0.000894 0.001167 0.001480 0.001824 0.002189 0.002600
2025-07-06 0.000571 0.000864 0.001193 0.001580 0.002012 0.002475 0.003002
2025-07-13 0.000438 0.000750 0.001115 0.001554 0.002056 0.002600 0.003227
2025-07-20 0.000313 0.000628 0.001016 0.001497 0.002057 0.002673 0.003390
2025-07-27 0.000255 0.000584 0.001004 0.001537 0.002165 0.002863 0.003679
2025-08-03 0.000184 0.000512 0.000952 0.001523 0.002208 0.002976 0.003882
2025-08-10 0.000105 0.000408 0.000849 0.001442 0.002167 0.002990 0.003970
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000342 0.000789 0.001409 0.002179 0.003062 0.004120
2025-08-24 0.000018 0.000259 0.000695 0.001326 0.002126 0.003056 0.004178
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000217 0.000656 0.001311 0.002154 0.003141 0.004339
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000192 0.000654 0.001363 0.002287 0.003375 0.004703
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000138 0.000594 0.001334 0.002319 0.003493 0.004935
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000104 0.000564 0.001344 0.002400 0.003670 0.005239
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000102 0.000594 0.001440 0.002592 0.003981 0.005699
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000065 0.000543 0.001416 0.002628 0.004103 0.005938
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000031 0.000476 0.001361 0.002620 0.004170 0.006111
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000021 0.000470 0.001399 0.002734 0.004385 0.006457
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000434 0.001386 0.002778 0.004513 0.006700
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000363 0.001309 0.002731 0.004526 0.006805
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000322 0.001277 0.002745 0.004613 0.006995
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001197 0.002688 0.004608 0.007075